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2006
Completed Trades
Completed Trade Number 1: October
2006 Sugar
On May 1, 2006 my trading account balance was $577.00.On May 18, 2006 I
bought one October sugar 1500 put option for 36
points (1 point =$11.20) or $436.80. On June 15th 2006, I sold the
option for 65 points or $728.00. My gross profit on this trade was
$291.20. After commissions and fees of $84.47, my net profit on this
trade was $206.73. My account balance after this trade was $783.73.
Note: By the time this option expired on September 8, 2006, sugar
had fallen to nearly $11.00, which means that this option by its
expiration date would have been worth approximately $4,480.00. This is
an situation where I didn't take advantage of a chance to get back in
the market.
Completed Trade Number 2: December
2006 Corn
The grain markets had been
very volatile all summer which did not provide a very good
trading opportunity. December Corn had been plunging
for about four weeks and I figured it was time for Corn to
rebound. So, on August 17th, 2006 I bought one
December Corn 240 Call for 9 cents
or $450.00. (1 Cent = $50 in a Corn contract).
The market then proceeded to move up nicely for a few
trading days. At the close of trade on August 31, the
options was worth $800.00 giving a paper profit of
$350.00. However , the market started moving down
sharply the next couple of trading days.
Determined to exit the trade with some profit, I
liquidated my option on September 6, 2006 for 11.25 cents or
$562.50. After brokerage commissions, I had
got out with a profit of $32.50 and my account
value was 816.23. Rats! Again, similar to the sugar trade, this is
another example of where I should have looked for another opportunity
to get back into the market. By the time this option expired on
November 21, 2006, Corn had soared to 355 which means that this option
would have had a value of $5,750.00. Double Rats! I quess the lesson
here is to keep looking for opportunities to get back into a market.
I've learned a lot by looking at the profits I let get away.
Still, as they say, hindsight is 20/20.
Completed Trade Number 3: January
2007 Orange Juice
On September 14,
2006, I bought one January 165 put option for 325 points or $487.50 (1
point = $150). I was hoping to catch the start of a move down. OJ
had broken out to the downside of a pennant formation.
Trend Seekers rating was a neutral trend with a signal ranking of
bearish. I expected OJ to maintain a downtrend a the 2006
hurricane season wound down. My downside target for OJ was
155. I figured that the downside momentum would pick up in
October. Well, OJ did continue to move down over the next
week. On Friday, September 22, my option had a value of $802.50.
However, over the next week, OJ started to move back up. To keep the
trade from turning into a loss, I liquidated the option on October 2,
2006 for 350 points or $535.00. That gave me a slight gross profit of
$47.40 but after subtracting out commissions, I ended up with a slight
loss of $40.64.
This was one trade that, as it turns out, I was just as glad that I got
out of. On October 12, 2006, OJ exploded up with the
January contract going up an astounding 26.85 cents or an increase of
$4027.50. Had I still
been in this trade with a put option, the option would have been nearly
worthless as OJ continued on to a multi-year high of 206.75 on December
8. Had this option become worthless, my trading account would have been
nearly wiped out. I guess this goes to prove how quickly one's
trading account can be wiped out in this business if one isn't really
careful. The value of my account was $775.59 after this trade.
Open Trades
At The End of 2006
March 2007 Corn
Here was a trade where I really messed up
the most in 2006. March 2007 Corn had been in a long uptrend
since September 18, 2006. Even though Trend Seeker was showing
that Corn was still in a strong uptrend, I wanted to try to buck the
trend by buying a March Corn put as I figured that Corn was due to have
a sharp correction. Well, this just goes to show the folly of
trying to trade against the prevailing trend. On October 18, 2006 I
purchased one March Corn 300 put for 11 cents or $550 plus fees and
commissions. My second mistake was in risking too much money on this
trade. To make a long story short, March Corn continued to soar,
reaching a high of 393 on November 30, 2006. Of course, this made the
value of the option drop to nearly zero. On December 31, 2006 this
option had a value of $6.25. Another mistake was that I didn't
have a good exit plan for the trade. I kept thinking that March
Corn would turnaround and I would be able to recoup my loss. But, alas,
that never happened. After the option had lost most of its value, I
figured I might as well stay in the trade in case March Corn did turn
around. As of the end of 2006, it looked as if March Corn was finally
forming a top formation.
With the value of my trading account dropping due to this option losing
value, I added another $300 to my trading account in November
2006.
Balance in
Trading Account as of December 31, 2006: $466.34
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About
J. Steven Tucker, CPA
Steven
Tucker is a Certified Public Accountant licensed in North Carolina and
has has his own CPA practice for the past eighteen years providing tax
and financial advice to a wide variety of small businesses. He has been
trading commodities, both futures contracts and options for about five years.
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Here To E-mail Steven Tucker
MyLearn2Trade.com
1495 Rymco Drive Ste 203
Winston Salem NC 27103
336-760-1614
DISCLAIMER
Be aware that investment in commodity futures and/or options for
potential profit is accompanied by the risk of loss. You should
therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you
in light of your financial condition. The benefits of limited risk in
trading futures options is only available for long options (Buying
"Put" and "Call" Options.) "Limited Risk" refers to the amount of any
potential loss, not the likelihood of loss. Trading futures options can
involve the loss of the premium paid on the option, plus commissions
and fees. Past results are not indicative of future results.
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