|

|
|
2008 Trading
Activity
January
2008 Trades
Balance in
Trading Account as of January 1, 2008: $2,384.23
January 9, 2008:
March 2008
Soybean Meal: March Soybean Meal formed a small flat top
triangle and prices just barely did close above the top of
the flat top triangle on January 3. On that date, Bean Meal closed at
$350.6. The top of the flat top triangle is $349. Trend Seeker
showed an Up trend with a strong strength rating so there was
a
trigger to enter a trade in this market to the upside. After pulling
back on January 4 and 7, Bean Meal, on January 8, moved back above
the top of the flat top triangle. When prices got to the top of the
flat top triangle on January 8, at $349, I placed an open order to buy
one March 360
call for $1,300 or less. My open order was filled on January 9 at
$1,300. On January 14, after rising as high as 369 early in the day,
Bean Meal sold off sharply. I wanted to minimize any loss on this
trade, so I liquidated my option early in the afternoon when Bean Meal
was down $2.50. I was glad I got out when I did as Soybean Meal
continued to get pummeled in the afternoon, dropping $6.10 to close at
$352.50. I was able to liquidate my option for $1200. So, my loss on
this trade was $100 before commissions.
Balance In
Trading Account as of January 31, 2008: $2,196.39
February
2008 Trades
No
trading activity in February 2008.
Balance In
Trading Account as of February 29, 2008: $2196.39
March 2008
Trades
No trading
activity in March 2008.
Balance In
Trading Account as of March 31, 2008:
$2,196.39
April 2008
Trades
April 28, 2008:
Deposited $3,000 into brokerage account.
Balance In
Trading Account as of April 30, 2008: $5,196.39
May
2008 Trades
May 9, 2008:
July 2008 Corn: July 2008 Corn presented a High-Lo
Breakout strategy. The July 2008 Corn contract reached a contract high
of 628.2 cents on April 9. Since then, the contract had developed a
channel formation. On May 8, prices finally closed at 630.2 cents which
was above the previous contract high of 628.2 cents. Trend Seeker
confirmed
that July Corn was in an Up trend. So, on May 9, I placed an open order
to buy 1 July 2008 Corn futures contract at 628 or lower and I set my
initial stop at 620 cents. My order was filled on May 9 at 628 cents.
For the day, this market closed at 629.4 cents giving me a profit of
$75.00 before commissions. Unfortunately, the next trading day, on May
12, the market opened at 625 cents and proceeded lower and I got
stopped out right at my stop at 620 cents. So, my loss on this trade
was 8 cents or $400 before commissions. I was glad that I got out at
620 cents as the market fell the rest of the day and closed for the day
at 613.6 cents.
May 14, 2008:
August Live Cattle: August Live Cattle presented a good
opportunity via the Hi-Lo Breakout Strategy. Live Cattle reached a
contract hight of 99.475 cents on April 25. On May 13, prices
broke above the April 15 high and closed at 99.975 cents. The next day,
on May 14, prices pulled back to what had been the April 25 contract
high, 99.475 cents, and I placed an open order to buy 1 August Live
Cattle 100 call option at 360 points or better. One point equals $4 in
this market. My order got filled at 350 points or $1400. On Monday, May
19, Live Cattle prices gapped lower at the open and moved down sharply
through the rest of the trading day. August Live Cattle was down 1.20
cents and settled at 97.90 cents. I liquidated my option that day as
prices had moved well below the support where I had wanted to get out
of this market. My loss on this trade was $440 before commissions.
Balance In
Trading Account as of May 31, 2008: $4,179.00
June
2008 Trades
No
trading activity in June 2008.
Balance In
Trading Account as of June 30, 2008: $4,179.00
July
2008 Trades
July 16, 2008:
December 2008
Eurodollar: This market can be a slow moving market but it
had formed a pennant formation. I redrew the top line of the
pennant to encompass all the resistance at the 97 basis point area. I
was looking at a close above 97.00 point as a trigger to enter
this market on a trade to the upside. This market finally closed above
97.00 on July 15. Also, Trend Seeker confirmed that this market was in
an Up trend. So, on July 16, I placed an open order to buy
one December Eurodollar futures contract at 96.99 or lower. I set my
stop loss at 96.89. My open order was filled on July 16 at 96.99. On
July 17, December Eurodollar had a fairly sharp pullback. The December
Eurodollar was down 12 points to close at 96.865. I was stopped out
right at 96.89. My loss on this trade was $250 before commissions. The
market dropped 10 points from my entry to where I was stopped out. 1
point in this market equals $25.00. The pennant formation that I based
this trade on did offer some signs that a breakout of the formation
would have a difficult time succeeding. For one thing, there was quite
a bit of resistance above the formation. Another thing was that the
formation itself was rather wide and sloppy. The formation just was not
a good tight formation which is the type of formation that has the best
chance of producing a profitable trade.
July 25, 2008:
Added $160.00 to trading account.
Balance In
Trading Account as of July 31, 2008: $4,000.40
August
2008 Trades
August 7, 2008:
December 2008
Cotton:
December 2008 Cotton had formed a small channel. The top of the channel
was 75 cents and the bottom of the channel was 70.78 cents. Trend
Seeker said the trend was Down. On August 4, December Cotton closed
below the bottom of the channel and this triggered a trade to the
downside.On August
6, I placed an open order to buy one December Cotton 69 put at 410
points ($2,050) or better. One point in this market equals $5. My open
order was filled on August 7 at 390 points or $1,950. Profit target for
this trade is for December Cotton to
move down to the 65 cent level which provides a potential profit of
around $2,000. As of the close of trade, today, August 13, December
Cotton was up 1.56 cents to close at 71.19
cents. Because this market today, August 13, moved above recent
resistance at 70.30, I decided to liquidate this option. My option was
liquidated for 380 points or $1900.00 which gave me loss on this trade
of $50 before commissions.
August 14,
2008: December 2008
Coffee:
December 2008 Coffee
had formed a pennant formation and Trend Seeker said the trend was
Down.
On August 13, December Coffee closed , at 139.45 cents which was
below the bottom of the pennant. This action triggered a trade
to the down side. This market has the potential to fall to its next
support level which is 135 cents. I decided to trade this market to the
downside a bit
differently. Rather than buy a December put I sold two far out of the
money December
Coffee call options. On August 14, I placed an open order to sell two
December
Coffee 190 calls at 155 points or better. My open order to sell
the two calls was filled on August 14 for 155 points for each call.
One point in coffee is $3.75. So,
selling the two options at 155 points each gave me a total of $1,162.50
that was credited to my brokerage account which brought my
account
balance to $4,854.46 after commissions.
Balance In
Trading Account as of August 31, 2008: $4,854.46
September
2008 Trades
No new trades inititated in September. Coffee trade initiated on August
14 still open.
Balance In
Trading Account as of September 30, 2008: $4,854.46
October
2008 Trades
October
21, 2008: I
liquidated December 2008 Coffee trade on October 21 by buying
back the two
options at 3 points or $11.25 each, which gave me a profit on the trade
of
$1,140.00 before commissions. This trade was my first trade selling
options and
the trade was a real learning experience. The
market moved pretty heavily against me for
the first two weeks of
the trade. The market moved against my position by as much as $15 on
the futures
contract, but I had sold options deep enough out of the money that I
was able
to ride out the move against me. By the third week of September the
market had
reestablished its downtrend plus the value of the options I sold
started to
depreciate rapidly due to time decay.
October 30,
2009: March 2009
Coffee: This market has been in a strong downtrend for
about two months now, but now is showing signs of making a bottom. I'm
looking at this market consolidating and then going sideways for a
while. That kind of price action makes this market a prime candidate
for entering a spread. On October 29, I placed an open order to sell
two March Coffee 87.50 puts for 90 points or better. This open order
was filled on October 30 at 95 points or $356.25 for each option.
On November 4, I sold two March Coffee 170 calls for 100 points or
$375.00 each. The total amount credited to my account for selling these
options was $1,462.50. These options expire on
February 11, 2009. Neither of the strike prices for these options I'm
selling, the 170 cents and 87.50 cents, have been reached by the
market in the last 36 months. So as of the close of trade on January 8,
2009, the 170
calls are worth $75.00 (20 points) each or $150.00 total and the two
87.50 puts are worth $60.00.00 (16 points) each for a total of $120.00.
That gives me a profit on this trade at this point of $1,192.50
before commissions. March Coffee closed down .75 cents today,
January 8, 2009, settling at $113.45.
Balance In
Trading Account as of October 31, 2008: $5,366.02
November
2008 Trades
March
Coffee
spread initiated on October 29, 2008 still open.
November 19,
2008: February 2009 Gold: This market
looked as if it had bottomed and Trend Seeker still said the
trend was down. This market looked to be a good candidate for a spread
as this
market could very well stay within its trading range over the next
two to three month. The February 2009 options expire on January 27,
2009, so
there would be the advantage of rapid time decay with this trade. I am
selling deep out of the money calls and puts. On November 19, I
sold two February Gold 1080 calls at $390 (390 points) each
for a total of $780 and I also sold two February Gold 550 puts at $360
(360 points) each for a total of $720. The total amount credited to my
account for selling these
options was $1,500.00. February Gold closed
today, January 9, 2009, at $856.40 up $1.90 for the day. The
February
1080 calls, today, January 9, settled at $30 each for
total
of $60 and the February
550 puts settled at
$10 each for a total of $20. That gives me a profit on this
trade at this point of $1,480.00
before commissions.
Balance In
Trading Account as of November 30, 2008: $7,108.56
December
2008 Trades
1. March Coffee spread initiated on October 29, 2008 still open.
2. February Gold spread initiated on November 19, 2008 still open.
Balance In
Trading Account as of December 31, 2008: $7108.56
Prospective
Trades For The Week of January 11, 2009
March 2009 Mini
Dow Jones Industrial Average: As of January 6, 2009, Trend
Seeker says this market is in an Up trend. Now, I'm looking at
selling two March mini DJIA 7200 puts. These puts settled today,
January 8, at $810 each. These options expire on March 20, 2009. The
March mini DJIA settled today, January 8 at 8696.
To be able to actually
follow my trades,
you'll need to understand the basics of commodity futures and options
trading. An excellent resource for beginners is a FREE
educational package, Options
on Futures Power Pack. With this
information, you can learn all of the basics of futures contracts,
options on futures contracts, plus learn some powerful trading
strategies, some of
which you will see me do with my actual trading. Click
here for
more information and to order Options
on Futures Power Pack - absolutely Free!
|
|
About
J. Steven Tucker, CPA
Steven
Tucker is a Certified Public Accountant licensed in North Carolina and
has has his own CPA practice for the past eighteen years providing tax
and financial advice to a wide variety of small businesses. He has been
trading commodities, both futures contracts and options for about six years.
|
Click
Here To E-mail Steven Tucker
MyLearn2Trade.com
1495 Rymco Drive Ste 203
Winston Salem NC 27103
336-760-1614
DISCLAIMER
Be aware that investment in commodity futures and/or options for
potential profit is accompanied by the risk of loss. You should
therefore carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you
in light of your financial condition. The benefits of limited risk in
trading futures options is only available for long options (Buying
"Put" and "Call" Options.) "Limited Risk" refers to the amount of any
potential loss, not the likelihood of loss. Trading futures options can
involve the loss of the premium paid on the option, plus commissions
and fees. Past results are not indicative of future results.
|
|
|